One of the recurring themes and hot topics currently
within all the doom and gloom of the credit crunch that
we hear: "is now a good time for further investment
or to expand portfolios". However there have invariably
also been casualties with the number of buy-to-let failures
doubling re: our post from August 08 'Buy
to let failures double' . This has also been compounded
by a growing number of private tenants in the UK falling
behind with their rent, AXA had commissioned a survey
by YouGov Plc on its behalf, the report confirmed that
7 percent of private tenants had slipped into arrears
in the previous three months, just over half the number
that had done so in the preceeding 12 months. The YouGov
poll was carried out online on July 22 to 30 2008. The
sample size was 8,372 adults, of which 1,046 rented from
a private landlord.
The above portfolio issue has also brought about the likes
of wealthy investors seeking out portfolio landlords in
danger of having their portfolios repossessed via an intermediary
advisory group. The investors put up capital to assist
portfolio's of between £5m to £30m. Under
such "partnership-agreements", the buy-to-let
landlord would retain ownership of the property, but the
investor would receive any return up to a stated threshold.
The original owner, however, would have the chance to
benefit if rental yields on the property exceeded the
threshold laid out in the contract. The doom and gloom
further pervades as per our recent post 'UK
rental falls for first time since 2003' . Landlords
have also had to have in place an Energy Performance Certificate
since October 1st. All this while lenders such as Capital
Home Loans look set to lose 70 employees (otherwise 40
per cent of its 175 staff) and Paragon report a 43% fall
in annual pre-tax profits to £53.7m, while also
reducing new lending by 75% to £1.13bn in the year
to 30 September after its funding costs soared. The words
'negative equity' also seem to be creeping back into the
financial vocabulary. So the writing on the wall may well
suggest that we should be battening down the hatches.
But there is a saying that many entrepreneurs have embraced
and that is "don’t panic when others are panicking;
buy when others are selling" although this was a
quote from Warren Buffet and was in relation to equities
the same rule of thumb may well apply to property. Property
prices have fallen to arguably 2005 levels and while buy
to let products remain thin on the ground loan to values
available are currently levelling out to 75%. The recent
cut in bank base rate to 3% has brought massive relief
to many landlords on trackers, discounted and variable
rates, while those on Libor will be seeing the benefits
soon. With not much liquidity available there is also
the option of distressed property but this does present
a moral and ethical grey area. On 15th October, the Office
of Fair Trading issued a report into the sale and rentback
sector which recommended statutory regulation. A Treasury
statement on October 22 confirmed that the Government
accepted the OFT's proposals and outlined that a consultation
paper on the findings will be published. Typically these
properties are available with a ready made tenant and
requiring little or no deposit. The bone of contention
was that although hard pressed homeowners were seen to
be exploited on the one hand there was also the threat
of repossession from the lender. With the lender able
to pursue the home owner for a period of six years for
any shortfall under the right of subrogation. Therefore
opportunities still exist for investors with or without
deposits and encouraged by a possible further 1 basis
point cut, those subscribed to First Mortgage Trust's
newsletter will receive regular opportunities and bulletins
along with a free PDF 'blogger' download which is continually
updated.